Showing posts with label maria ramos. Show all posts
Showing posts with label maria ramos. Show all posts

Monday, February 02, 2009

White London, Grey Davos, Green Cambridge


[SRI-Extra in 60secs > Snow falls on LDN and attracts some sustainability media thinking. Sort of. FA launches FAGreen in the US. Davos is WEF annual skiing vacation for politicos and financiers. Davos had better snow, and more hot air, but some pointed comments by Tutu and Putin. SA's Maasdorp covered impacts on Africa. Investment News suggests ESG is fast gaining acceptance in the US. Xshares launches Airshares. IFC-funded Who Cares Wins project closed with a summary report from OnValues, which included four recommendations for EM. IFC funded the project, and is active in ESG in investment in EM. Credit Agricole and Societe Generale merged asset management divisions. Obama says bank bonuses at this time are "shameful". MIT posts links to sustainability on campus, and at the B-school, MIT Sloan. GS]


Snow in London

Snow is dusting London and Paris this morning. It is enough snow to look beautiful, the sugar coating offering postcard photographers a once in decades opportunity. Fun at last for all those with Land Rovers. In Pennsylvania it's groundhog day [39% historical accuracy, 2009 predicts six more weeks of winter]. Funnily enough, a CNBC reporter jumped to make a climate change connection, CNBC Africa feed from Germany this morning's Business AM connecting a report on Lufthansa
[Deutsche Lufthansa AG (ADR) (Public, OTC:DLAKY)] to the importance of sustainability in investment. I know aviation is a critical component, but that seems a bit of a reporter stretch, no? Maybe she could have connected to the Japan Airlines non-food biofuel-powered flight, that would have helped the segue a little [Japan Airlines Corporation (Public, TYO:9205)]. Here's hoping we will have smarter sustainability coverage from business journalists going forward, including a new on-line publication from Financial Advisor magazine, FA Green, launched by online editor Dorothy Hinchcliff. FA Green is targeted mostly at investment advisors in the US [see article on AirShares EU Carbon Allowances Fund (ASO) by Xshares, which rang the opening bell on 28 January]. The white snow will at least give our mates in the bleak City of London financial district something to look forward to, like building snowmen or a decent Calvin and Hobbes-quality snowball fight!


Lost in Davos

The snowfall may even help the bankers feel like they were part of the Davos circle for a few hours.
Davos is the name of the town of Davos-Klosters in Switzerland and the abbreviated title for the annual World Economic Forum [WEF] gathering of politics and business. In 2009 SA's Maria Ramos was co-chair. It is a fun ride if you like schmoozing and skiing, and attracts attention of discontents. Davos is organized by the World Economic Forum, a Geneva-based organization set up by a millionaire Swiss businessman in the 1970's, with a fantastic view of Lac Leman over the UN Palais across to the Jura mountains in France. Davos offers much content at low cost for the major media, especially business media, so it received much coverage. As was widely reported, the role of finance and investment was supplanted by politicians. It is something of a lost year. Obama had no economic heavyweights there. Archbishop Emeritus Tutu [photo above] offered an interesting session on dignity as only he could, BBC reported Tutu said:
"we worshipped in the temple of cutthroat competition, and so some cooked the books, because the treasure is so great"
Bankers were no doubt an endangered species, with not a sorry in sight [see AP writer Brad Klapper report, note Forbes's comment and Schwarzman's pitch for less regulation]. The Bloomberg interview of Putin on 25 January by the female Bloomberg TV Moscow correspondent, Ellen Pinchuk, was gripping TV. Putin's slap down of Michael Dell was legendary.
Bloomberg reported:
In the question-and-answer session after Putin’s speech, Dell Inc. Chief Executive Officer Michael Dell said he was surprised by the prime minister’s warning about excessive state interference and asked Putin how Dell could help Russia develop its information-technology industry. “You know, the trick is that we don’t need help,” Putin said. “We’re not handicapped. The people who really need help are the poor, the disabled, pensioners, developing countries.”
The ruble dropped 3.5% after Prime Minister Putin's comments. Soon we will see the movie adaptation of the play Frost/Nixon, so maybe I am a little more attuned to the challenges of being the astute interviewer face-to-face with a powerful person in a powerful emerging market country. She did well to discover his favourite "guilty pleasure" is ice cream, ever since Prime Minister Putin was a kid. Lots of it, apparently, but no mention of Ben & Jerry's. So if I ever meet him in person, we have at least one thing in common! Of all the river of Davos reporting, I enjoyed the note in Business Times in South Africa by WEF Young Global Leader, Leslie Maasdorp, vice chair of Barclays Capital and ABSA Capital, who spoke on the impact of the global financial crisis on Africa. His comments on the importance of a multi-polar world was expected, and he makes the good point that no new architecture or scope has been sharply defined for a "new world order". January 2009 is the worst ever January on record for the Dow, and the "January barometer" [if January is down, the year is down] suggests this year will be pear-shaped. Financials are down 25% in the US for the year [that's just January, folks!]. While many may wish for a "fairer economy" just keeping economies going may overwhelm all other priorities. Questions about the limits of corporate governance still lurk, including this morning's FTfm. Investment News overstates the US paradigm, "Investing according to strict environmental, social and governance principles is fast gaining acceptance among U.S. investors" BUT the positive trend maps our experience and forecasts.



Who Cares Wins Signs Off

Most useful for sustainable finance was the 2008 report summarizing the work of "Who Cares Wins", which unfortunately we could not contribute to because of prior commitments. The series of WCW papers since 2004 funded by the IFC, the
Swiss Federal Department of Foreign Affairs and hooked to the UN Global Compact, have been useful in raising the profile of sustainability. Some papers have been better than others but the wrapping of the WCW project with an explicit conclusion is excellent project management, and good governance in this sector. On the eve of Davos fellow ESG consulting shop OnValues, based in Zurich, published the report as "a significant component of the Initiative's sponsors' media strategy during and following the WEF Annual Meeting 2009 in Davos this week." See the IFC PR.
Though the current turbulence in financial markets may tempt investors and companies to think of ESG issues as ‘tomorrow’s problem’, we believe that urgent and wholehearted action is warranted not in spite of, but precisely because of the market dynamics observed in the past months. ESG integration is about investors and companies taking a longer-term view, acknowledging the full spectrum of future risks and opportunities, and allocating capital as if they themselves were the beneficial owner.
The concluding paper offered some useful thinking for work in Africa and other emerging markets regions. The authors posit that in order to improve ESG integration in emerging markets investment, which was a special focus area of the WCW Initiative based on the direction of the IFC which has an EM ESG team [see IFC EM ESG projects] in Washington DC, four recommendations are important:
  1. Include ESG issues in regular company meetings and engagement activities
  2. Perform a systematic review of the ESG exposure of investments in emerging markets
  3. Consider collaborating with other investors in requiring minimum ESG disclosure standards from local legislators and exchanges
  4. Consider the potential for small allocations to frontier markets not only to deliver attractive returns but also to establish basic investability conditions (such as custody, efficient settlement services, etc.) and management awareness of material ESG issues.

In discussions through February I hope for some reaction from colleagues in EM in the sustainability + investment space to the request for better information. There is much to reflect upon. Moving changes in institutional investment are reflected by Société Générale and Crédit Agricole merging their asset management businesses to form Europe’s fourth largest operator with EUR638bn [USD837bn] under management. CA Cheuvreux had some solid ESG research [see 22/12/2008 The Green Road Out of Red], as did SocGen. One hopes their research capabilities are strengthened, not seen as overhead to cut.
The consortium of funders behind WCW reflects the costs involved in some of these initiatives, especially where they are global. WCW was more useful because it tapped into thinking on emerging markets [EM] although mainly from the perspective of investors into EM from Zurich, London or Paris than actual investors in EM. A good exception was having Investec's Hendrik du Toit covering frontier markets at the July 2007 event in Geneva at the Credit Suisse private bank, Rue de Lausanne 17. All these projects must be funded, in cash or in-kind. One often forgets that the multitude of organizations and initiatives around the world are competing for influence, for money to support their efforts, and private and public sector institutions to collaborate with them. It is competitive. But it is also much harder to figure out on a consistent basis which organizations are achieving what. There is no "marketplace" or "stock exchange" valuing the work of international organizations and NGOs.



Pay for Performance

Scoreboards may be tough to read. Scores change in seconds, like market prices. We struggled to watch from 1am central African time [CAT] this morning
the biggest one day sports event in the world, the NFL Superbowl in the US. A great game, but none of the famous Superbowl TV adverts. Wrong zone. Markets are like sports fans in that they like clarity, like knowing which is the champion. The increase in fantasy leagues, the recruiting of traders using poker games, and HSBC sponsoring the Lions rugby tour to South Africa in 2009, are just some of the examples of the metaphor and parallels. Boston-based online paper CSMonitor had a good item connecting pay-for-performance of businessmen and the NFL athletes, many of whom are superbly overpaid. All market players are not rational however: all the money in the world could not buy superstar Brazilian footballer Kaka from Intern Milan to Manchester City [GBP107m, USD147m - yes, million!]. The efficient market hypothesisticans must have been spinning...

Pay guidelines are a key request of pitches to the Obama administration as they reconfigure the rules of the financial game for Wall St. Apparently President Obama was pretty pissed about the bonuses, calling them "shameful" on this Huffington Post video. I wonder what President Obama may achieve if he were to invite to a frank airing of views behind closed [oak] doors a bunch of bankers pulling bonuses while firing employees.

In closing, an anecdote from another fine dinner in CPT on Friday. An architect was speaking about how climate impact is 70% caused by the built environment, and that developers will only look at economic cost/benefit-positive sustainability items. Apparently developers do not even care about longer term trade-offs, just the math until the sale to the property owner/manager. More reality from the frontlines on the challenges of getting longer term thinking into investment decisions.
Seems like the Green Building Council has many yards to go in the industry. The conversation had me reflecting on my last lecture at MIT Sloan, their business school, back in December 2008 as well as meeting with a cross-disciplinary team at MIT focused on making sustainability happen on campus in Cambridge MA. Even when the thinking is advanced, and smart people are moving, putting basics together across different silos is a change management challenge of note. But MIT is making some good progress. See multimedia links were made available this week including Sustainability: Greening MIT's Campus and Beyond and the Professor heading up the B-school's efforts, Prof Sarah Slaughter, who has an engineering background, here speaking on sustainability. MIT Sloan are moving forward with some case studies for teaching sustainability + investment with Sinclair & Company in 2009. The title of Prof Sterman's lecture on the Sloan Review is about right: A Sober Optimist's Guide to Sustainability.
SRIX.GS

***
Who Cares Wins [WCW] events and milestones include
reports for download at http://www.ifc.org/ifcext/enviro.nsf/Content/Publications_SustFinance:
  • 2004 Annual Event; 'Who Cares Wins: Connecting Financial Markets to a Changing World'
  • 2005 Annual Event; 'Investing for Long-Term Value'
  • 2006 Annual Event; 'Communicating ESG Value Drivers at the Company-Investor Interface'
  • 2007 Annual Event; 'New Frontiers in Emerging Markets Investment'

Thursday, January 08, 2009

Looking Back in Zapiro


Being back in South Africa after seven years it is time to start catching up, on the society, the way of business, the political economy. Catching up on the past year is always easier in December/January. It is the time of year-end reviews and dovetails with the summer season similar to double issues in July/August in the northern hemisphere. The business dailies become anorexic and the writers eke out a few stories to tide us over. It is a good time to sneak in a qualified audit oipinion or a remote annual general meeting. One needs not really catch up on sport because those headlines come through in bite sized chunks, like the RWC 2007, Natalie du Toit at Olympics, the fumbling Bafana Bafana, or the first-ever test series win in Australia!

But what to read first? I flipped past the Financial Mail [FM] double issue, after reading the call for leadership by the editor, and the winners and losers. Yes, of course I would rather start with the sharp incisive wit of Zapiro. What better way to understand the SA psyche? As my old history teacher taught us, the political/editorial cartoonist is a brave wo/man. But with so much material, it must be a fulfilling job, although prone to recycling, with some of the craziness in the world, and in South Africa, repeating year on year [Israel/Gaza etc]. This cover [above] from Zapiro's September 2007 release of weekly cartoons refers to the SA health minister renowned for alcoholism and denial HIV/AIDS programmes. Allegedly she claimed that some vegetables potion is better than AIDS anti-retrovirals, and allegedly she bumped other liver donors so she could be operated upon sooner, faking the reason for her organ damage to hide alcoholism. Another fine Zapiro cartoon from January 2002 has a wealthy couple strolling into "Davos", reflecting the perception of hobnobbing by politicians and businesspeople at the annual WEF event in Switzerland while the poor are nowhere to be seen. That would test the humour of a few CSR, NGO and UN types I have met along the way who would be flattered to be invited...

Zapiro must have lasted as long as he has because, as his book The Mandela Files attests, he has serious credibility, and the odd endorsement from the icon Nelson Mandela himself: “Very exciting and quite accurate”. Would make a neat endorsement for one’s work, no? He is frank in interviews, and has been at the center of media freedom debate raging in SA. Zapiro was privileged to have the Mandela Foundation launch the book as part of Madiba's 90th birthday. The Mandela Files is available in the US from end April 2009, you may pre-order on Amazon. Check out the Zapiro bibliography here. Even the titles will make you smile...

I have always wondered how Zapiro managed to keep being published - his wit is cutting, and politicians have thin skins - and it turns out his Mum was active in the anti-apartheid struggle, as was he, starting out making posters for the UDF here in Cape Town and getting detained for the privilege. He also designed the poster for the End Conscription Campaign [ECC], which I remember well from high school when weighing the joys of being conscripted into an apartheid army while wanting to serve my country. Like Helen Suzman, in the rush to re-write South African history after 1994, a good few stories about ordinary people as activists have been lost along the way.

As one academic put it during a panel discussion at a Zapiro book launch late 2008, one may disagree sometimes with the Zapiro cartoon, but never with the write to publish it. The head of the ANC has taken a dim view of the September 2008 Zapiro cartoons in response to the winding Zuma rape courtcase - which became two as Zapiro responded to legal injunctions - and is suing Zapiro for ZAR7m. I wonder if Zuma becomes president in April which newspapers will be brave enough to continue printing the cartoons of the president depicted as having a shower over his head [refering to Zuma's claim that a shower washes away HIV/AIDS in court during his rape trial]. Yes, he said it.

Lounging at the Book Store
I am also delighted to find some independent bookstores, which I will support regularly. FM just covered the small but strong segment of independents in Small Bookshop Miracles. On Sunday we browsed The Book Lounge just down the mountain at the top end of the city, open for just over a year now. The bookies running it were good quality, so we’ll be back.
I had a little time to browse the "sustainability" and "business" sections too. I did pick up Choice Not Fate, the recent Trevor Manuel biography of the the well-regarded South African Finance Minister, by Pippa Green [yes, he has a wikipaedia entry]. The title Choice Not Fate seems like something I may understand based on my own lifepath, and timely, seeing as we drove past L'Ormarins in Franschhoek the afternoon Mr Manuel was marrying his longtime girlfriend and financial rockstar, Maria Ramos. we noticed the paparazzi at the gate [a first for me in SA]. The wealthy Rupert family owns L'Ormarins. I forecast that Mr Manuel will see in the new cabinet, then be recruited away to the World Bank or IMF or such. More about the bio later.

Private Equity in Africa
I am still catching up on how the South African context has moved relative to other emerging markets and developed markets over the past seven years, and where institutional investment is integrating environmental, social and governance factors [ESG] in 2009. In my investment consulting I am looking to cover alternative asset classes too, so I look forward what the private equity/venture capital conference has to offer on 12 Feb here [South Africa Private Equity Congress, 12th February 2009, Table Bay Hotel, Cape Town] to move forward my work in private equity in Africa for 2009. Perhaps I may learn more about the IFC work in sustainability in PE [the IFC called for money managers for a small US$50m PE fund in 8 low-income countires back in November 2008], and perhaps connect with Steve Beck (former CEO of Geneva Global) who has started an Africa social PE fund and is currently fundraising for capital for Springhill Equity Partners. My hopes are high, especially looking for "Western LPs"! : "Meet and network with an increasing number of Western LPs who are looking to South Africa as a potential place of investment".